Skip to content Skip to navigation

Pennsylvania Senate Race: Bob Casey holding lead over Dave McCormick

Tags: 

(WHTM) - U.S. Senator Bob Casey continues to lead Republican challenger Dave McCormick in the latest Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll.

In a survey of 950 likely Pennsylvania voters, Casey led McCormick 48% to 44% with 8% undecided with nearly two months until Election Day.

The race is unchanged from July's poll after Casey’s lead on McCormick dipped slightly from his 6% lead in Emerson College Polling/The Hill’s June survey.

The top issue for Pennsylvania voters continues to be the economy with 51% citing it as their biggest issue at the ballot box. Threats to democracy, immigration, health care, housing affordability, and abortion access rounded out the top issues for Pennsylvania voters.

Casey, McCormick share stances on fracking as election grows closer

In the presidential race, the same poll found Kamala Harris and Donald Trump both having 48% support in Pennsylvania. Three percent of Pennsylvania voters said they were undecided and one percent said they support a third-party candidate.

The sample size in Pennsylvania is n=950, with a credibility interval of +/-3.1%. Data was weighted by statewide voter parameters, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education (US Census), and voter registration (state secretary of state) and turnout data (exit polling).

The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle, along with anonline panel provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English. Data was collected betweenAugust 26-28, 2024. The survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored byNexstar Media.

It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and know with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.