(WHTM) - U.S. Senator Bob Casey continues to lead Republican challenger Dave McCormick in the latest Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll.
In a survey of 950 likely Pennsylvania voters, Casey led McCormick 48% to 44% with 8% undecided with nearly two months until Election Day.
The race is unchanged from July's poll after Casey’s lead on McCormick dipped slightly from his 6% lead in Emerson College Polling/The Hill’s June survey.
The top issue for Pennsylvania voters continues to be the economy with 51% citing it as their biggest issue at the ballot box. Threats to democracy, immigration, health care, housing affordability, and abortion access rounded out the top issues for Pennsylvania voters.
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In the presidential race, the same poll found Kamala Harris and Donald Trump both having 48% support in Pennsylvania. Three percent of Pennsylvania voters said they were undecided and one percent said they support a third-party candidate.
The sample size in Pennsylvania is n=950, with a credibility interval of +/-3.1%. Data was weighted by statewide voter parameters, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education (US Census), and voter registration (state secretary of state) and turnout data (exit polling).
The survey was administered by contacting respondents’ cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle, along with anonline panel provided by CINT. The survey was offered in English. Data was collected betweenAugust 26-28, 2024. The survey was conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored byNexstar Media.
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced. Survey results should be understood within the poll’s range of scores, and know with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.